Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.360190 10.408637 11.536777 12.842662 14.314836 15.925574 17.824719
2025-07-06 7.604920 8.984211 10.570803 12.537511 14.919173 17.721512 21.285457
2025-07-13 6.593990 8.219383 10.203864 12.821008 16.205305 20.465708 26.285200
2025-07-20 5.809256 7.600119 9.908024 13.129849 17.558027 23.498430 32.185379
2025-07-27 5.112579 6.985674 9.520264 13.247215 18.666392 26.381126 38.415615
2025-08-03 4.455454 6.327875 8.974626 13.053627 19.297680 28.687735 44.247684
2025-08-10 3.910019 5.751020 8.458729 12.815421 19.809876 30.882075 50.309391
2025-08-17 3.461308 5.256182 7.993797 12.577503 20.270385 33.050243 56.727858
2025-08-24 3.105389 4.857198 7.621007 12.424497 20.831501 35.455152 64.007542
2025-08-31 2.822154 4.537899 7.332080 12.362736 21.526239 38.186151 72.413579
2025-09-07 2.638856 4.359331 7.249786 12.638325 22.851890 42.263116 84.256309
2025-09-14 2.417826 4.090908 6.980584 12.538327 23.456978 45.061516 94.067216
2025-09-21 2.186356 3.784348 6.618106 12.233854 23.655017 47.157560 103.008117
2025-09-28 2.002808 3.543899 6.347750 12.069279 24.108917 49.866484 113.994657
2025-10-05 1.906537 3.453020 6.344218 12.431041 25.716524 55.360285 133.016120
2025-10-12 1.818713 3.368284 6.341973 12.794413 27.388731 61.325404 154.827813
2025-10-19 1.716695 3.245158 6.249818 12.954472 28.631552 66.527765 176.059525
2025-10-26 1.593067 3.066668 6.026169 12.797340 29.110137 69.952637 193.278844
2025-11-02 1.477025 2.892191 5.792183 12.586061 29.425273 73.027029 210.363692
2025-11-09 1.371893 2.730245 5.567798 12.367755 29.689406 76.024743 228.117169
2025-11-16 1.283257 2.594722 5.386476 12.227845 30.133864 79.612925 248.900205
2025-11-23 1.209350 2.483905 5.248176 12.174303 30.799704 83.973379 273.707755
2025-11-30 1.165604 2.434689 5.242941 12.450329 32.411244 91.469035 312.203676